{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0xe443dab97ad8b7f58558cc7a6a3932d156031e962a451e0461e9a4578d78fe84","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x40cefa103f5042f5079b3a93f40bcbb82d4288d2e4fc0ca59f8d986ea3c22e17:0","id":"trade:0x40cefa103f5042f5079b3a93f40bcbb82d4288d2e4fc0ca59f8d986ea3c22e17:0","implied":0.09,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.09,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1774535657,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?","usd":14276.2842,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x11e50ec01d48adc0be2292cb8e2a5fee0369ee4d"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x29a1f0cf98fcf99a1a093dc1fa1070c0d6ac805ca27e33facc72eb0983df604b:0","id":"trade:0x29a1f0cf98fcf99a1a093dc1fa1070c0d6ac805ca27e33facc72eb0983df604b:0","implied":0.22,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.22,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1774450101,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":14608.1474,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x11e50ec01d48adc0be2292cb8e2a5fee0369ee4d"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x07cbd8a7e1a3689ff0d5738f24b6162aba6262d6debd541b1c4e8948f341de97:0","id":"trade:0x07cbd8a7e1a3689ff0d5738f24b6162aba6262d6debd541b1c4e8948f341de97:0","implied":0.25,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.25,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1773407679,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":10000.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x11e50ec01d48adc0be2292cb8e2a5fee0369ee4d"},{"condition_id":"0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x250e72e1693f9ba238aa0aef9f849a108b3cc1375b3dadfb061800cc7d7db5f7:0","id":"trade:0x250e72e1693f9ba238aa0aef9f849a108b3cc1375b3dadfb061800cc7d7db5f7:0","implied":0.1999973544,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.1999973544,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1772449945,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?","usd":97721.14932753722,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x11e50ec01d48adc0be2292cb8e2a5fee0369ee4d"},{"condition_id":"0x09cbe3e796661a1d820580145488ad2ccb9ad1e720efcd64b448bb77b97007c1","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x28155ba8d87c83e41742709e73836cadb0bb8639e61dda519e0c9cf29f557479:0","id":"trade:0x28155ba8d87c83e41742709e73836cadb0bb8639e61dda519e0c9cf29f557479:0","implied":0.23000000000000004,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.23000000000000004,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1771530200,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?","usd":23400.510500000004,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x11e50ec01d48adc0be2292cb8e2a5fee0369ee4d"},{"condition_id":"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x754d9839b98fb588e5538e90e8285b28164fe80130d6eb8f30a88feea14559a6:1","id":"trade:0x754d9839b98fb588e5538e90e8285b28164fe80130d6eb8f30a88feea14559a6:1","implied":0.75,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.75,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1771529860,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","usd":11696.565,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x11e50ec01d48adc0be2292cb8e2a5fee0369ee4d"}],"record":{"called":0,"edge":-0.1899993386,"exp_rate":0.1899993386,"expected":0.7599973544,"hit":0.0,"n":4,"se":0.19381021848592647},"wallet":"0x11e50ec01d48adc0be2292cb8e2a5fee0369ee4d"}